A comprehensive deal is on the table to end the Gaza war, forcing Hamas to choose between retaining power and ensuring its survival, following a stark warning from US President Donald Trump. The agreement itself is “90 per cent done,” according to US Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
The proposal requires Hamas to release all Israeli hostages. In return for this, Israel will withdraw its military to the “yellow line,” its position in mid-August. Hamas has reportedly “basically” agreed to this framework.
The deal also offers a path to political relevance, with Hamas having agreed “in principle” to participate in discussions about a post-war plan for Gaza. This provides an alternative to continued conflict.
However, President Trump has made the stakes clear, threatening “complete obliteration” if Hamas refuses to give up control. This ultimatum, combined with his praise for the deal as “great for Israel” and his confirmation of Netanyahu’s support, puts Hamas in a difficult position.
As final logistical details are worked out, Hamas’s decision is imminent. The choice it makes will not only determine the fate of the peace deal but also the future of the group itself.